@misc{konrad2026saturatedbayesian, title = {Bayesian Indicator-Saturated Regression for Climate Policy Evaluation}, author = {Konrad, Lucas D. and Vashold, Lukas and {Crespo Cuaresma}, Jes{\'u}s}, year = {2026}, eprint = {2603.04997}, archiveprefix = {arXiv}, primaryclass = {stat.ME}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04997} }